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2018 Annual Assessment

The light and shadows in the strategic picture indicate that Israel’s growing strength cannot resolve the chronic lack of security stability in the Middle East. Calm is frequently temporary and may be upended, even when it seems that there is no interest in allowing the situation to devolve into active warfare. The risk of a rapid deterioration into serious violence obligates Israel to plan its steps very cautiously, taking care not to become trapped in a pattern of strategic paralysis and insufficient diplomatic initiative.

Israel’s strategic power and the presence of a pro-Israel president in Washington opens up opportunities for Israel to take action that can stop the danger of sliding into a reality of a bi-national state that threatens Israel’s Jewish identity. The strategic window of opportunity that is presently open for Israel will not necessarily remain open forever.