{"id":4424,"date":"2021-06-28T11:21:14","date_gmt":"2021-06-28T08:21:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jppi.org.il\/?post_type=article&#038;p=4424"},"modified":"2023-01-19T15:21:29","modified_gmt":"2023-01-19T13:21:29","slug":"view-through-big-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/view-through-big-data\/","title":{"rendered":"The View Through Big-Data: An Initial Analysis of 15 Million Tweets by AIPAC and J Street Followers"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"background-color: lightgrey;\">\n<h3>Main Findings<\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"padding: 0px 0px 10px 25px;\">Twitter followers of AIPAC and J Street are equally likely to have bios that contain the word \u201cJewish\u201d, while AIPAC supporters are significantly more likely to have \u201cIsrael\u201d in their bios.<\/li>\n<li style=\"padding: 0px 0px 10px 25px;\">Around the same percent of AIPAC followers (48.1%) and J Street followers (39.5%) mention Israel at least once in their previous 200 tweets.<\/li>\n<li style=\"padding: 0px 0px 10px 25px;\">J Street followers are more likely than AIPAC followers to be using emotionally charged language and relating to controversial topics in their tweets about Israel.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4428\" src=\"http:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/twitterPhone.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"802\" height=\"578\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/twitterPhone.png 802w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/twitterPhone-300x216.png 300w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/twitterPhone-768x553.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 802px) 100vw, 802px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and J Street, both define themselves as \u201cpro-Israel\u201d organizations that seek to advance the US-Israel relationship and help secure a Jewish and Democratic Israel at peace with its Palestinian neighbors. Whether one organization fulfills that mission better than the other, tactically or morally, is beyond the scope of this study. However, these two organizations cater to different constituents of engaged members, interested enough in Israel to be associated, at least virtually, with a \u201cpro-Israel\u201d lobby. The overall differences in their supporter\u2019s self-identification and how they relate and engage with Israel is important to better understand one of the most interesting fault lines within the Jewish community.<\/p>\n<p>The growing field of data science has provided researchers with an entirely new set of tools and methodologies to answer fundamental questions that Jewish community organizations attempt to resolve. We can analyze an individual\u2019s digital footprint on social media and measure not only the frequency with which they are discussing Israel in their posts, but the <strong>sentiments<\/strong> they are expressing through their choice of vocabulary. Are their posts about Israel generally positive or negative, are they driven by a sense of pride or shame? How do they actually self-identify?<\/p>\n<p>Social media is, of course, not free of bias \u2013 there is an inherent selection bias. People on social media associating with AIPAC and J Street might not be truly representative of the organizations\u2019 actual membership. Their views might be more radical and their level of interest more intense than the average supporter or member. But this does not mean their views and behaviors are unimportant and not indicative of broader trends taking place beyond social media.<\/p>\n<p>For the purposes of this and future JPPI studies in this series, we will be focusing exclusively on the world of Twitter as an avenue of research.<a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\">[1]<\/a> The simplicity and openness of its platform, the standardized length of tweets, and accessibility of organized data make Twitter the ideal social media network for this type of research. According to latest figures from the Pew Research Center, Twitter is used by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/internet\/2021\/04\/07\/social-media-use-in-2021\/\">approximately 23% of U.S. adults<\/a>. In late 2020, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.journalism.org\/2021\/01\/12\/news-use-across-social-media-platforms-in-2020\/pj_2021-01-12_news-social-media_0-03\/\">Pew reported<\/a> that 59% of Twitter users and 15% of the overall population of U.S. adults regularly get news from the site. Twitter is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/internet\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2021\/04\/PI_2021.04.07_social-media_0-03.png\">more popular among<\/a> people aged 18 to 29, higher-wage earners, college educated, and urban dwellers. While Twitter may not be the most widely used social media platform, its societal influence cannot be overlooked.<\/p>\n<p>This research uses publicly available profiles and recent tweets of people who follow either AIPAC or J Street. Both organizations joined Twitter around the same time, J Street in May 2008 and AIPAC in August 2008. As of this writing, AIPAC, the older, more established of the two organizations has 107,752 followers and J Street, the new kid on the block, has roughly 33,626. The number of people who follow both organizations is 6,574. This relatively small proportion of shared followers is not surprising. The perception of AIPAC <a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/233523758_The_Israel_Lobbies_A_Survey_of_the_Pro-Israel_Community_in_the_United_States\">\u00a0as \u201ccentrist\u201d and J Street as \u201cleft-leaning\u201d<\/a> inevitably contributes to each organization attracting a distinct group of followers, even though their missions are ostensibly the same. But just how different are their followers?<\/p>\n<p>Twitter users have the option of including a 160-character bio about themselves in their profile. Ignoring the relatively few individuals who follow both organizations, roughly half of the followers of AIPAC and J Street have included a bio about themselves. Using these bios (54,366 AIPAC followers and 17,682 from J Street) a relatively new process of quantitative analysis called <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jetwi.us\/uploadfile\/2014\/1230\/20141230112729939.pdf\">text mining<\/a> was conducted. Each bio was broken down into the words that compose it. After removing non-informative \u2018stop words,\u2019 such as \u201cthe,\u201d \u201cabout,\u201d \u201cas,\u201d \u201cin,\u201d etc., we counted the total number of instances each word was used across all bios of each organization\u2019s followers. Below is a ranked list of the top 20 most prevalent words used by AIPAC and J Street followers.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/bios.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"912\" height=\"702\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/bios.png 912w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/bios-300x231.png 300w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/bios-768x591.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 912px) 100vw, 912px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The words and their ranking demonstrate the differences between the two constituencies. Only half of the top 20 words found in the bios overlap. The most glaring difference, though, is that \u201cIsrael\u201d is the most common word within the bios of AIPAC followers but is absent from J Street\u2019s top 20. In fact, Israel is not even in the top 50; it is ranked 61<sup>st<\/sup> most common. In comparison to AIPAC followers, there is evidently a clear reluctance among J Street followers to publicly associate themselves with Israel within their bios<span style=\"text-decoration: line-through;\">. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>Describing oneself as Jewish, on the other hand, is effectively as common among J Street followers as it is with AIPAC\u2019s. This strongly suggests that explicit outward identification of being Jewish is not affected by the same forces that are driving Jews to choose between either associating with AIPAC or J Street.<\/p>\n<p>A noteworthy and topical observation from the table above is the significant tendency among J Street followers to include preferred gender pronouns in their bios, such as \u201cshe\/her\u201d and \u201che\/him.\u201d Use of these pronouns on social media signals that one is respectful and tolerant of other people\u2019s gender identification preferences and wants to help create a diverse and inclusive environment. \u00a0\u201cI\u2019m he\/him, if you are they\/them, I\u2019m cool with it.\u201d This trend, part of the \u2018Woke\u2019 cultural vernacular, is an indication that J Street followers are attempting to be politically correct and attuned to the broader cultural movement toward social and racial justice in America. This is in stark contrast to the prevalence of words such as \u201cgod,\u201d \u201cconservative,\u201d or \u201cChristian\u201d in the bios of AIPAC followers, which are more indicative of \u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/06\/05\/education\/learning\/christian-colleges-lgbtq-social-justice.html\">traditional values<\/a>.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Besides self-identification, how do AIPAC and J Street followers differ in the way they relate to Israel? To find out, we analyze the last 200 tweets from each their followers. In total, this study consists of 11,312,734 tweets (including retweets) generated from AIPAC followers and 3,685,112 from followers of J Street. Each tweet is categorized based on whether it contains the word \u201cIsrael.\u201d From this data it is found that 48.1% of AIPAC followers and 39.5% of J Street followers have mentioned Israel at least once in their previous 200 tweets. This relatively small disparity is proof that there is not a significant difference between the frequency with which AIPAC and J Street followers discuss Israel on social media, but what about latent emotions contained within the Israel tweets?<\/p>\n<p>Each tweet containing the word Israel was broken down into its compositional words, which are then assigned an associated sentiment (anger, anticipation, disgust, fear, joy, sadness, surprise, trust, positive, negative) based on the <a href=\"https:\/\/saifmohammad.com\/WebPages\/NRC-Emotion-Lexicon.htm\">NRC Word-Emotion Association Lexicon<\/a>.<a href=\"#_edn2\" name=\"_ednref2\"><u>[2]<\/u><\/a> Through this process it is possible to determine which words and sentiments are more likely to be found in the Israel related tweets of AIPAC followers and which from J Street. The graph below shows that expressed sentiments are more common among J Street followers, indicating that their tweets are more emotionally charged. This is further evidenced by tweets devoid of sentiments (\u201cnone\u201d) more common among AIPAC followers. Most notably, the sentiments that have the strongest correlation are joy and sadness among AIPAC and J Street respectively. A score of 0 along the x-axis means that there is no significant difference between the groups of followers.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Sentiment.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"874\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4426\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Sentiment.png 1200w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Sentiment-300x219.png 300w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Sentiment-1024x746.png 1024w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Sentiment-768x559.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u2018Sadness\u2019 was the most disproportionately conveyed sentiment by J Street followers, followed by \u2018disgust\u2019 and \u2018anger.\u2019 The following graph shows the specific words included in the \u201csadness\u201d sentiment found in tweets mentioning Israel most likely to be used by followers of one organization and not the other. For example, the word \u2018unequal\u2019 has a greater probability of being used by J Street followers, while \u2018jealousy\u2019 has a greater probability of being used among AIPAC followers.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sadness.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"830\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4427\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sadness.png 1200w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sadness-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sadness-1024x708.png 1024w, https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/sadness-768x531.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Without context, it is difficult to know how these words were used to relate to Israel \u2013 were they in defense of Israel or critical of it? Regardless of context, the fact remains that J Street followers are more likely to relate to contentious and controversial issues in their tweets about Israel compared to the followers of AIPAC.<\/p>\n<p>While this type of sentiment analysis is not perfect and requires further development for it to truly capture the overall sentiment expressed in a 280-character thought, it does give us an interesting angle on how the discourse surrounding Israel differs between these two organizations. What is apparent though is a community that shares a connection to their Jewish identity but differs in their discussion of Israel\u2019s policies.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\">[1]<\/a> For readers unfamiliar with the Twitter platform, users (organizations and individuals) choose who and what they want to \u201cfollow\u201d (subscribe to). When a user \u201ctweets\u201d (posts something limited to 280 characters), those following them will see the tweet in their feed or receive a notification on their device. If they want, users can respond by liking the tweet, \u201cretweeting\u201d it (forwarding the tweet to their own followers), and\/or replying to the tweet (commenting on it). All tweets are public, unless a user changes their privacy setting to prevent people who don\u2019t follow them from seeing their tweets.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref2\" name=\"_edn2\">[2]<\/a> The words \u201coccupation,\u201d \u201capartheid,\u201d \u201cantisemitic,\u201d and \u201cantisemitism\u201d were added to the lexicon to help capture discourse related to Israel.\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Main Findings Twitter followers of AIPAC and J Street are equally likely to have bios that contain the word \u201cJewish\u201d, while AIPAC supporters are significantly more likely to have \u201cIsrael\u201d in their bios. Around the same percent of AIPAC followers (48.1%) and J Street followers (39.5%) mention Israel at least once in their previous 200 tweets. J Street followers are&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4429,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4424","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","topics-identity","topics-judaism","topics-us-jewry","topics-science-and-technology","topics-sociology","library-publications","library-backgroundpapers"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4424","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4424"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4424\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8885,"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4424\/revisions\/8885"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4429"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4424"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jppi.org.il\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4424"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}