As the war marks its third anniversary, this new JPPI study examines its impact on Jewish communities in Europe and how Israel should address the geopolitical changes that have occurred as a result.
By: Dr. Dov Maimon
By: Dr. Dov Maimon
The Russia-Ukraine War has profoundly affected Jewish communities worldwide through five main channels of influence: the mobilization of unprecedented humanitarian responses, the triggering of significant Jewish migration, the necessity for major security enhancements, the catalyzation of state-sanctioned antisemitism in Russia, and the increase of Qatar’s influence in Europe.
The outbreak of war sparked an immediate and comprehensive response from Jewish organizations globally, demonstrating the community’s extraordinary capacity to coordinate humanitarian aid for both Jewish and non-Jewish Ukrainians. This response showcased the Jewish community’s commitment to universal humanitarian values while highlighting their organizational capabilities in times of crisis.
The conflict also spurred significant Jewish migration, particularly from Ukraine and Russia. This population flow created new challenges and opportunities for Jewish communities across Europe and Israel, requiring a rapid adaptation of community services and support structures. Jewish institutions worldwide found themselves compelled to enhance security measures significantly, reflecting both direct threats and the broader atmosphere of uncertainty the conflict generated.
In Russia, the emergence of state-sanctioned antisemitism created new pressures on local Jewish communities. Simultaneously, Qatar’s increasing influence in European affairs added another layer of complexity to Jewish diplomatic and security considerations. These developments have negatively affected the Israel-Diaspora relationship and have generated a significant divergence in perspectives and priorities.
While Diaspora Jews have strongly supported Ukraine against Russia, aligning with democratic values, Israel has maintained a more cautious approach due to strategic concerns, such as Russia’s influence in Syria and ties with Iran.
This divergence initially heightened existing tensions between Israel and the Diaspora, reflecting differing priorities between global solidarity and national security considerations.
However, this dynamic was dramatically altered by the October 7 Hamas attack and its aftermath. The horrific massacre perpetrated by Hamas created a new reality that largely overshadowed the Ukraine war’s effects on Jewish communities. The Israel-Hamas War has left its mark on Jewish communal life through increased antisemitism, strengthened Diaspora-Israel relations, enhanced Jewish identity and community cohesion, and growing interest in Aliyah.
The sequential impact of these conflicts has fundamentally reshaped Jewish communal life and Israel-Diaspora relations. While the Ukraine war initially created tensions between Israeli and Diaspora perspectives, the October 7 attacks led to a significant realignment. This transformation continues to evolve, affecting everything from community security to patterns of migration and the very nature of Jewish identity in the Diaspora.
1. Humanitarian Response
In an extraordinary mobilization of resources during the Ukrainian crisis, Jewish organizations have coordinated over $100 million in humanitarian aid, marking this as the largest Jewish humanitarian operation since World War II. This massive effort has brought together 200 Jewish organizations in a coordinated response to the crisis.47
The scope of this humanitarian initiative is reflected in its comprehensive infrastructure: 75 new refugee support centers have been established, alongside 30 specialized medical treatment programs. Together, these programs have provided integrative support for more than 100,000 displaced persons, demonstrating the scale and effectiveness of the community’s response.
The financial impact has varied significantly across Europe. Western European Jewish communities have seen their security-related expenses increase by 35%, while their humanitarian aid budgets have grown by 50%.48 Eastern European Jewish communities, which serve as primary points of transit and refuge, have experienced an even more dramatic 85% increase in refugee support expenditures.49
This uneven distribution of financial burden has led to the development of innovative approaches to resource sharing and coordination between communities. These new methods of inter-community cooperation have emerged as a necessary response to the unprecedented scale of need. This response has not only provided crucial aid but has also established new standards for community crisis response, potentially serving as a model for future humanitarian efforts.
2. Migration and Identity Dynamics
The most tangible effect of the conflict has been the near-complete dissolution of Jewish life in what was historically a vital center of Ashkenazi Judaism. Ninety percent of Ukraine’s Jews have emigrated since the end of the Cold War. Precisely 40,732 Ukrainian Jews emigrated to Israel between 2022 and 2023, while an additional 15,450 have relocated to other European countries.50
The Ukrainian crisis has revealed complex patterns in Jewish identity and demographics within post-Soviet regions.⁵¹ Before the war, fewer than 50,000 people officially identified as Jews in Ukraine, though some estimates place the real figure at 170,000-200,000.⁵² Approximately 17,000 Ukrainian Jews and 14,000 non-Jewish family members emigrated to Israel, facilitated by the Jewish Agency and other Israeli government bodies. Another 10,000-15,000 relocated to other countries, and around 20,000 Ukrainian Jews died during the war. This exodus has led to the closure of 23 long-established Jewish institutions across Ukraine. Today, the Jewish population in Ukraine is estimated at 120,000-150,000, with discrepancies reflecting concealed identities due to historical persecution.⁵³
Jewish refugees accounted for 0.6-0.7 percent of the total Ukrainian refugee population, with 40-50 percent of the Jewish community relocating, compared to 25-30 percent of the general population.⁵⁴ This reflects the support of organized community infrastructure and Israel’s immediate citizenship policy for Jewish immigrants.⁵⁵ Germany hosted around 7,000-10,000 Ukrainian Jews, while Poland, acting as both a transit and settlement hub, saw 7,000 Jews settle permanently in cities like Warsaw and Krakow. Krakow stands as a remarkable illustration of this diaspora’s impact: Ukrainian refugees multiplied its Jewish population fivefold, igniting a cultural revival.⁵⁶
Other European countries provided crucial support networks: Hungary hosts between 3,000 and 4,000 refugees, Moldova served as a transit point for over 10,000 with 2,000 settling there permanently, Romania has accommodated approximately 1,500, and the Czech Republic hosts 2,000-3,000. North American countries have accepted smaller but significant numbers, with the United States receiving some 3,000-4,000 and Canada welcoming nearly 2,500 through special immigration initiatives.
Within Ukraine, approximately 25,000 Jews relocated to Western regions, particularly to Lviv, Uzhhorod, Chernivtsi, and Ivano-Frankivsk. Jewish institutional support remains robust, with the Joint Distribution Committee (JDC) continuing welfare programs that serve about 40,000 Jews across the country. Chabad’s network, though reduced from 35 to 32 communities, still provides essential services. Active Jewish life persists in major urban centers like Kyiv, Dnipro, and Odessa, while new temporary communities have emerged in EU border countries.⁵⁷ As Jewish humanitarian aid continues to be highly active, many previously disaffiliated Jews have reconnected with the community, seeking physical, social, and spiritual support during the crisis.
The Jewish community structure in European, particularly Eastern European, regions can be divided into three distinct circles,⁵⁸ each undergoing unique transformations during the conflict.⁵⁹ The Inner Circle, representing actively participating Jews in Ukraine, has decreased from 43,000-56,000 to 25,000-30,000 due to organized evacuations and displacement.⁶⁰ The Middle Circle, comprising individuals of Jewish heritage with limited community involvement, has declined from 150,000-200,000 to 100,000-130,000.⁶¹ Meanwhile, the Outer Circle, consisting of those eligible under Israel’s Law of Return, has remained relatively stable at 190,000-300,000, partly due to the crisis uncovering hidden Jewish ancestry and reinforcing ties to heritage.⁶²
Unfortunately, the hardships of Jewish refugees are far from over. When the war ends or shifts into a low-intensity conflict, new challenges will likely arise. Ukraine may experience an antisemitic backlash driven by frustration and a search for scapegoats, exacerbating conditions for Ukrainian Jews and potentially leading to another wave of emigration. Meanwhile, Jews who have temporarily settled abroad as refugees may face the expiration of their legal status, forcing them to leave. Unwilling to return to an unwelcoming Ukraine, many will likely consider Aliyah as their best option.
This concern is not unfounded. A report published in January 2025 by the Union of Councils for Jews in the Former Soviet Union (UCSJ) highlights this risk, noting that “as Ukraine approaches the end of its third year of war, society is experiencing serious socio-psychological challenges.” The report further warns that “[…] in light of this, it is reasonable to cautiously express concern that the positive trends of previous years may not be irreversible. It cannot be ruled out that, under a negative scenario—such as the prolonged war or a forced peace settlement on harsh terms for Ukraine—antisemitism could become an outlet for frustration for some Ukrainians.”⁶³
3. Enhanced Security Measures
The Ukraine War’s impact on European Jewish security manifested across three key dimensions: direct impacts, security responses, and evolving threat assessments.
The direct impacts during 2022-23 revealed a concerning 28 percent rise in antisemitic incidents, with 3,200 recorded cases across Europe. Conspiracy theories connecting Jews to the conflict drove a 45 percent increase in problematic online content, while economic grievances amid rising inflation further fueled antisemitic sentiments.⁶⁴ Pro-Russian groups emerged as a specific threat, carrying out dozens of documented incidents targeting Jewish communities across various countries.⁶⁵
In response to these challenges, Jewish communities significantly bolstered their security measures, increasing annual security budgets from €28M to €40M across Europe. This enhanced funding supported comprehensive protection for 1,200 Jewish institutions, improvements in digital security infrastructure to combat cyber threats, and a 65 percent increase in coordination efforts with national security service agencies.⁶⁶ The scale of security enhancement is further evidenced by a dramatic 145 percent increase in security technology investments since 2022, alongside a threefold enhancement in cyber-threat monitoring capabilities. Over 200 Jewish institutions have implemented advanced surveillance systems, while the number of trained security personnel has doubled, and community volunteer security groups have expanded by 75 percent.⁶⁷
The threat assessment landscape underwent substantial changes as intelligence services identified several emerging patterns. Far-right groups increased their exploitation of war-related tensions by 35 percent, while cyber-attacks targeting Jewish institutions rose by 50 percent. Economic pressures led to a 40 percent increase in the prevalence of traditional antisemitic tropes.⁶⁸ New cybersecurity measures have been implemented, including enhanced monitoring systems, improved data protection protocols, and increased cooperation with national security agencies, all of which reflect the evolving nature of contemporary threats.
4. Rise of State Antisemitism and Qatar’s Growing Influence
Russia’s transformation into what analysts characterize as a full-fledged dictatorship⁶⁹ since February 2022 has brought increasing manifestations of state-sanctioned antisemitism reminiscent of old Soviet patterns.⁷⁰ The Russian Foreign Ministry’s criticism of the Balfour Declaration, coupled with explicitly antisemitic statements from spokesperson Maria Zakharova, indicates a strategic deployment of antisemitism in state policy.⁷¹
Simultaneously, Qatar’s new position as Europe’s essential gas supplier has created significant challenges for Jewish communities, particularly in Western Europe. In France, home to Europe’s largest Jewish population (approximately 450,000),⁷² these challenges are particularly pronounced. Qatar’s dual role as an energy supplier and financial partner has constrained the ability of authorities to address concerns about Qatar’s support of organizations promoting antisemitic attitudes.⁷³ Qatar’s extensive investments in major French corporations and financial institutions have created dependencies that affect policies regarding Jewish community interests.⁷⁴ Further, some analysts accuse Iran and Qatar of having paid a bribe to the South African government for bringing charges of genocide against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ).⁷⁵
The Ukraine war’s impact on Jewish communities has been multifaceted, requiring unprecedented organizational responses while creating new security challenges. The combination of humanitarian needs, migration pressures, enhanced security requirements, rising antisemitism, and changing geopolitical dynamics has tested community resilience while demonstrating remarkable adaptive capacity. These developments have necessitated new forms of inter-community cooperation and resource allocation, establishing new paradigms for Jewish communal mobilization.